HPS
2682 Phil
2690 Name:_________________________________
Theories of Confirmation
Spring
2010 Credit:____ Audit:____
| Principal Accounts of Induction |
| Inductive Generalization |
| __ Enumerative Induction |
| __ Hempel's Satisfaction Criterion |
| __ Mill's Methods |
| __ Glymour's bootstrap |
| __ Demonstrative Induction (Newtonian deduction from the phenomena) |
| Hypothetical Induction |
| __ Exclusionary accounts. Error statistical methods. |
| __ Simplicity (Akaike, BIC) |
| __ Abduction: Inference to the best explanation |
| __ Inference to a common cause |
| __ Reliabilism |
| Probabilistic Induction |
| __ A Bayes' primer |
| __ Bayesian success stories |
| __ Subjective Bayesianism (big topic) |
| __ Objective Bayesianism (big topic) |
| __ Probability disassembled |
| __ Extended Bayesianism (convex sets, interval valued probabilities, improper priors, Jeffrey's conditionalization) |
| Arguing for Bayesianism |
| __ Dutch book arguments |
| __ Function theoretic representation theorems |
| __ Decision theoretic representation theorems |
| __ Loss functions |
| Arguing against Bayesianism |
| __ Not the universal theory |
| __ Problem of old evidence |
| Problems of Induction |
| __ The Problem of induction (aka Hume's problem) |
| __ Grue |
| __ Underdetermination |
| __ Hempel's Raven |
| __ Observationally indistinguishable spacetimes |
| More Bayesian Topics |
| __ Likelihoodism (Bayes without priors) |
| __ Limit theorems |
| __ Measures of coherence (Bovens and Hartmann) |
| __ Measures of incremental support |
| __ The conjunction fallacy (Linda the bank teller) |
| __ Measures of explanatory power |
| Gotcha's in Probability |
| __ The exchange paradox |
| __ The doomsday argument |
| __ Sleeping beauty |
| __ De Finetti's lottery |
| Evidential Case Studies |
| __ Evidence for evolution |
| __ Newton's argument for universal gravitation |
| __ The electron |
| ___Your suggestions? |
| More |
| __ Material Theory of Induction |
| __ Ranking theory |
| __ Hume's argument against miracles |
| __ Confirmation theory and the learning theoretic paradigm |
| Your Suggestions |
| ___: ____________________________________ |