Lecture Outline
 

Session 1

7/6/04 T: 10:30-12noon, 820 Benedum Hall

Chang

Topics

• Introduction
• Basic concepts of statistics
• Review of mathematics (summation, combinations, functions, exponential functions, logarithm functions, calculus)

• Descriptive Statistics
• Types of variables
• Measures of location (mean, median, mode)
• Measures of spread (variance, standard deviation, range, quantiles, percentiles, coefficient of variation, outliers)
• Graphical methods (stem-and-leaf plot, boxplot, histogram)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 1, 2, 3

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #1 (due 7/9/04)
 
 

Session 2

7/7/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 820 Benedum Hall

Chang

Topics

• Probability
• Review of probabilities (definition, events, union, intersection, complement, multiplication law of probability, addition law of probability, independent events, mutually exclusive events)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 4.3.2

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #2 (due 7/9/04)
 
 

Session 3

7/9/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 820 Benedum Hall

Chang

Topics

• Probability
• Review of probabilities (conditional probability, relative risk, total probability rule)
• The Baye’s theorem (screening tests, prevalence and incidence)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 4.3.2

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #3 (due 7/12/04)
 
 

Session 4

7/12/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Discrete Probability Distributions
• Random variables
• The probability mass function; cumulative distribution function
• The expected value and variance of a random variable
• Sampling distributions
• Distributions (binomial distribution, Poisson distribution)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 4.1, 4.3, 4.5.1, 4.5.2, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3.1, 6.3.2, 6.6.1, 6.6.2

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #4 (due 7/14/04)
 
 

Session 5

7/14/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Continuous Probability Distributions
• General concepts
• The normal distribution
• Standard normal distribution

Optional Reading
        Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 4.4, 4.5.3

Homework Assignment
        Problem Set #5 (due 7/16/04)
 
 

Session 6

7/16/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Continuous Probability Distributions
• Standard normal distribution (Continue)
• The Central Limit Theorem
• Normal approximation to the binomial distribution
• Normal approximation to the Poisson distribution

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 4.4, 4.5.3

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #6 (due 7/19/04)
 
 

Session 7

7/19/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Estimation
• Population vs. sample
• Randomization (basic concept, random-number table)
• Estimation of the mean (point estimate, estimate with confidence)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 4.2, 4.6.1

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #7 (due 7/21/04)
 
 

Session 8

7/21/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Estimation
• Estimation of the variance (or standard deviation) (point estimate, estimate with confidence)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 4.8.1

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #8 (due 7/23/04)
 
 

Session 9

7/23/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Hypothesis Testing: One-sample Inference
• General concepts (null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, type-I error, type-II error, power, test statistics)
• One-sample test for the mean of a normal distribution (one-sided alternative, two-sided alternative)
• One-sample test for the variance of a normal distribution

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 5.1 - 5.5

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #9 (due 7/26/04)
 
 

Session 10

7/26/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

In-class Midterm Exam
 
 

Session 11

7/28/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Hypothesis Testing: Two-sample Inference
• Paired-sample test for the mean of the difference between two normal distribution (one-sided alternative, two-sided alternative)
• Testing for the Equality of two variances
• Two-sample test for the equal means between two normal distribution (equal variances, unequal variances)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 5.6 - 5.7

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #10 (due 7/30/04)
 
 

Session 12

7/30/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Intervals

• Sample Size and Power

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 5.8

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #11 (due 8/2/04)
 
 

Session 13

8/2/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Rubio

Topics

• Estimation: Categorical Data
• Review of binomial and Poison distributions and processes
• Large sample and exact methods of estimation of parameters
• Confidence limits for binomial and Poisson data
• Use of tabled values of binomial and Poisson probabilities, computer generated binomial and Poisson probabiliites

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 6.1-6.3, 6.6

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #12 (due 8/4/04)
 
 

Session 14

8/4/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Rubio

Topics

• Inference and Hypothesis Testing: Categorical Data
• One-sample test for a binomial proportion
• Two-sample test for binomial proportions
• Sample-size and power for comparing two binomial proportions

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 6.4

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #13 (due 8/6/04)
 
 

Session 15

8/6/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Rubio

Topics

• Categorical Data  2 X 2 tables
• Construction of 2 X 2 tables with fixed marginals, fixed totals
• The 2 x 2 contingency table tests (Chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test )
• Matched-pair data (McNemar’s test)
• Measures of agreement (kappa)
• Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 6.4,6.5,7.4

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #14 (due 8/9/04)
 
 

Session 16

8/9/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Rubio

Topics

• Categorical Data  larger contingency tables
• The R x C contingency table tests (Chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test)
• 2 X C tables tests of trend
• Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests
• R X R tables of agreement (unweighted and weighted kappas, extensions of the McNemars test)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 7.3, 7.4

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #15 (due 8/11/04)
 
 

Session 17

8/11/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Analysis of Variance
• General concepts
• Hypothesis testing in one-way analysis of variance

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapters 10.1 - 10.2

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #16 (due 8/13/04)
 
 

Session 18

8/13/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Correlation and Regression Methods
• General concepts
• Correlation coefficient
• Fitting linear regression lines (the least-squares method)

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 9

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #17 (due 8/16/04)
 
 

Session 19

8/16/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Correlation and Regression Methods
• Inference about parameters from regression lines (the ANOVA table)
• Assessing the goodness-of-fit of regression lines

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 9

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #18 (due 8/18/04)
 
 

Session 20

8/18/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Mor

Topics

• Analysis of Variance
• Hypothesis testing in two-way analysis of variance

Optional Reading
      Fisher & van Belle, Chapter 10.3

Homework Assignment
      Problem Set #19 (due 8/20/04)
 
 

Session 21

8/20/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Roberts

Topics

• Overview (Logistic Regression Analysis)

Optional Reading
      None

Homework Assignment
      None
 
 

Session 22

8/23/04 M: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Roberts

Topics

• Overview (Survival Analysis & Nonparametric Analysis)

Optional Reading
      None

Homework Assignment
      None
 
 

Session 23

8/25/04 W: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

Topics

• Course Review

Optional Reading
      None

Homework Assignment
      None
 
 

Session 24

8/27/04 F: 10:30-12noon, 117 Victoria Building

Chang

In-class Final Exam
 
 

Recitation Schedule
 

Class A

Tuesdays & Thursdays 8:30-10:00am, 117 Victoria Building

Callaghan/Corcoran

Class B

Tuesdays & Thursdays 3:30-5:00pm, 117 Victoria Building

Mehta

 

Laboratory Schedule
 

Computer Lab 1

7/12/04 M: 1-5pm,  126 Gardner Steel Conference Center

Callaghan/Mehta/Corcoran

Topics

• Distributions
• Descriptive statistics, graphs and calculating probabilities for normal distributions

• T-tests
• Independent and paired, tests for homogenity of variances

• Analysis of variance
• Using Stata Tables command to display means
• Correlation & Regression

• T-tests
• Sample size & Power

• Chi-squares test
• Binomial & Poisson distributions
• Contingency Tables

• Correlation & Regression
• ANOVA

• Correlation & Regression

ANOVA

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If there are any questions, please contact Joyce Chang.
Revised July 5, 2004.