Review of topics. Vote.
"A Little Survey of Induction"
Little survey notes
slides
notes
(Ten minutes each only)
"Variation 1. Confirmation" in
Jan Sprenger and Stephan Hartmann, Bayesian Philosophy of Science
This meeting only will be held in WebEx. Contact me for login details.
Ch. 10. Why Not Bayes
Ch. 11. Circularity in the Scoring Rule Vindication of Probabilities
Ch. 12. No Place to Stand: The Incompleteness of All Calculi of Inductive Inference
in
John D. Norton, The Material Theory of Induction
Optional: "A Demonstration of the Incompleteness of Calculi of Inductive Inference," British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 70 (2019), pp. 1119–1144.
Slides:
"Why
not Bayes""Incompletness"Video:
"Why not Bayes"
"Incompleteness"
Peter Lipton, "Inference to the Best Explanation," in W.H. Newton-Smith (ed) A Companion to the Philosophy of Science (Blackwell, 2000) 184-193.
(Background Peter Lipton, "Inference to the Best Explanation," Ch. 4 in Inference to the Best Explanation. 2nd.ed. Routledge, 2004.)
handout
Kareem Khalifa, Jared Millson, and Mark Risjord, "Inference to the Best Explanation: Fundamentalism’s Failures," Ch. 6 in Kevin McCain and Ted Poston (eds.) Best Explanations: New Essays on Inference to the Best Explanation. Oxford University Press, 2017.
Jonah N. Schupbach, "Inference to the Best Explanation, Cleaned Up and Made Respectable," Ch. 4 in Kevin McCain and Ted Poston (eds.) Best Explanations: New Essays on Inference to the Best Explanation. Oxford University Press, 2017.
handout
Igor Dovuen, "Inference to the Best Explanation What Is It? And Why Should We Care?" Ch. 2 in
Kevin McCain and Ted Poston (eds.) Best Explanations: New Essays on Inference to the Best Explanation. Oxford University Press, 2017.
slides
William Roche and Elliott Sober, "Explanatoriness Is Evidentially Irrelevant, or Inference to the Best Explanation Meets Bayesian Confirmation Theory." Analysis 73 (2013) pp. 659–68.
slides
Kevin McCain and Ted Poston, "The Evidential Impact of Explanatory Considerations," Ch. 8 in Kevin McCain and Ted Poston (eds.) Best Explanations: New Essays on Inference to the Best Explanation. Oxford University Press, 2017.
slides
Ch 9. "Inference to the Best Explanation: Examples"
in John D. Norton, The Material Theory of Induction. ms
(briefly only if time)
summary notes
Powerpoint
Optional background reading: John D. Norton, "Ignorance and Indifference." Philosophy of Science, 75 (2008), pp. 45-68.
Powerpoint
slides
First draft of full ms of March 6 now available online.
Ch. 2 Large-Scale Structure: Four Claims
Slides:
Chapter 1
Chapter 1 update
Chapter 2
Video:
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Ch. 4 The Uniqueness of Domain-Specific Inductive Logics
Ch. 6 The Problem of Induction
Eric Anderson,Brendan Fleig-Goldstein, Dejan Makovec
Richard Dawid (2017), Delimiting the Unconceived. http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/14230/
Carlo Rovelli (2016), "The dangers of non-empirical confirmation,” arXiv:1609.01966v1
George Ellis and Joe Silk, "Defend the integrity of physics” Nature, 516 (Dec 2014), pp. 321-323.
Richard Dawid, "Meta-Empirical Confirmation: Addressing Three Points of Criticism” http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/18818
Track 2 Precise, formal (Bayesian)
Harrison Payne, Brett Park, Riet van Bork, Youness Ayaita
Richard Dawid, Stephan Hartmann, Jan Sprenger (2013) "The No Alternatives Argument" http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/9588/
Tushar Menon (2019) "On the viability of the No Alternatives Argument” http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/15791/
Dawid, Richard, "Does the No Alternatives Argument need Gerrymandering to Be Significant?” http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/18817
Powerpoint
handout
Powerpoint
Ch. 6 "Simplicity as a Surrogate" and Ch. 7 "Simplicity in Model Selection" (reviews technical details of AIC) in John D. Norton, The Material Theory of Induction.