Alan Hájek
Department of Philosophy
Research School of Social Sciences
Australian National University

Visiting Fellow
Spring 2002
California Institute of Technology
On Uncertainty:
The Philosophical Foundations of Probability

July 2007
No single thing stands out for me this year, but I've been keeping busy - see my Homepage. I guess my main project at the moment is finishing this book manuscript: Arrows and Haloes: Probabilities, Conditionals, Desires, Beliefs to be published by Oxford University Press.

June 2008
Forthcoming:

o  "Complex Expectations" (with Harris Nover), forthcoming in Mind, 2008.

o "Are Miracles Chimerical?", in Oxford Studies in Philosophy of Religion, ed. Jon Kvanvig,  Oxford University Press, forthcoming 2008.

 o "Dutch Book Arguments", in The Oxford Handbook of Corporate Social Responsibility. ed. Paul Anand, Prasanta Pattanaik, and Clemens Puppe, forthcoming 2008.

o "Conditional Probability", in Philosophy of Statistics, eds. Prasanta Bandhopadhyay and Malcolm Forster, Elsevier, forthcoming.

o  "Probability - A Philosophical Overview", forthcoming in Current Issues in the Philosophy of Mathematics From the Perspective of Mathematicians, ed. Bonnie Gold, Mathematical Association of America, 2008.

o    "Arguments For - Or Against - Probabilism?", forthcoming in Degrees of Belief, eds. Franz Huber and Christoph Schmidt-Petri, Oxford University Press, 2008.

o     "Confirmation" (with James M. Joyce), in the Routledge Companion to the Philosophy of Science, eds. Stathis Psillos and Martin Curd, forthcoming 2008.

o "Bayesian Epistemology" (with Stephan Hartmann), forthcoming in the Blackwell Companion to Epistemology, ed. Matthias Steup, 2008.

o "A Philosopher's Guide to Probability", forthcoming in Uncertainty and Risk: Multi-disciplinary Perspectives, Earthscan (the Goolabri symposium organized by Gabriele Bammer and Michael Smithson), 2008.

o   "David Lewis", The New Dictionary of Scientific Biography, Scribners.

o   "Pascal's Wager", invited contribution to The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, ed. Edward N. Zalta, http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/pascal-wager/
(Substantive revision of original 1998 article.)

special lectures or presentations

o  Keynote address, First Synthese Conference, Copenhagen, "Lewis Meets Hegel: A Tribute to David Lewis, and Two Dialectics on Formal Methods"

o Keynote address, Modality and Science conference, University of Colorado at Boulder : "A Puzzle About Partial Belief"

o  Workshop on my work on philosophical methodology, Soochow University, Taipei

I gave seven lectures on philosophical heuristics.      

grants, fellowships or awards; present research interests

I"m finishing a manuscript for a book entitled: Arrows and Haloes: Probabilities, Conditionals, Desires and Beliefs, forthcoming with Oxford University Press.

Vincent Hendricks and I are editing a collection: Probability and Statistics: 5 Questions, edited by Alan Hájek and Vincent F. Hendricks, New York / London: Automatic Press / VIP, ISBN-10: 87-92130-05-4; ISBN-13: 978-87-92130-05-1. Release Date: September 2008 .

2016 Update

After a period of being Department Chair, last year I gladly returned fully to the life of the mind. Some highlights:

• Two-day conference on my work on conditionals (with commentators on it), Belgrade University

• A Week With Alan Hájek lecture series, Trnava University, Slovakia—7 lectures, one televised in Slovakia.

I finished a number of articles; watch this space for these forthcoming:

• “Making Ado Without Expectations” (with Mark Colyvan), forthcoming in Mind.

• “Creating Heuristics for Philosophical Creativity”, forthcoming in Creativity and Philosophy, eds. Berys Gaut and Matthew Kieran, Oxford University Press.

• “Minkish Dispositions”, forthcoming in Synthese.

• “Philosophical Heuristics and Philosophical Methodology”, forthcoming in The Oxford Handbook of Philosophical Methodology, eds. Herman Cappelin, Tamar Szabó Gendler, and John Hawthorne, Oxford University Press.

• “Deliberation Welcomes Prediction”, forthcoming in Episteme.

• “Hysteresis Hypotheses”, forthcoming in Conditionals, Probability, and Paradox: Themes from the Philosophy of Dorothy Edgington, eds. John Hawthorne and Lee Walters, Oxford University Press.

This edited collection is also forthcoming:
The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, eds. Alan Hájek and Christopher Hitchcock, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

2017

My news: This edited collection has come out.

     The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, eds. Alan Hájek and Christopher Hitchcock, Oxford: Oxford University Press (2016).

Great for the enquiring mind and biceps curls - the perfect gift!

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