As you might predict, the history of literature and the history of culture are thoroughly intertwined. The adage that literature is a simultaneous mirror of culture and a predictor of how culture might someday evolve has held true since the inception of the discipline, and has been taken through its logical (and perhaps even illogical) extremes by branding any product of culture "literary." The aim of this project, of course, is not to challenge this notion. Literature and culture remain interlinked at the genetic level, and to attempt to divorce the two would be to rob one, or both, of thier respective definitions. Instead, I point out this fact because it is of utmost importance to recognize that the historical data found on the AC mirrors cultural evolution, particularly, as one might expect, within the British isles, and later, within America. There are few, if any, inconsistencies with AC data and historical cultural evolution, although a few texts stand out as particularly noteworthy. In Chapter One I detailed some examples of texts at the top of the AC in regard to historical data, but this chapter will examine the historical data we have in total, granting us insight not only into literary and cultural epochs, but also, perhaps, a glimpse into the minds of those who comprise the canonical source lists.
When possible, I used exact publication dates as they were available to me via research, though (especially with antique texts) these dates were much more difficult to find, and instead a range of dates is often substituted. Additionally, I considered texts "published" when they were first made publically available; for example, although Shakespeare likely wrote a majority of his texts in the 16th century, a great number of them didn't first appear until the publication of the First Folio in ~1624, and were therefore considered part of the 17th century. Further, if a play premiered before it was published, I used the date of premier where available. Finally, some texts were published over the course of many months or even years. Dickens, for example, published much of his work as periodicals, as did a number of other authors. Typically, this did not impede century groupings, as all the publications (save Shakespeare) did not span multiple centuries, though it did make pinning down a particular date a challenge. Where available, I used the publication of the earliest part of the work as the "publication date," although this number was not always readily known, and so, again, an estimate had to be used. A text of particular challenge was the King James Bible, which saw myriad authors and a publication date (and multiple revision dates) that spanned numerous centuries. For purposes of dating, I explicitly used the King James version, which debuted in 1611, as my anchor source.
There are nine texts (not including the KJB), for which no publication date could be found. We may reasonably assume that these texts are part of prehistory, as their authors (Aristotle, Livy, Tacitus, and Plutarch) are all from that period, but with no way of knowing if these texts were published (or recovered) posthumously or not, I left them out of the analysis. If you choose, you may assume that the Prehistory era includes these nine additional texts. The KJB, as previously stated, is listed as having been published in 1611. If you choose an earlier version, however, then the text is almost certainly part of the 1st-12th century category.
The vertical timeline found below illustrates a number of important dates and events in both world and literary history, including the development of particular genres and landmark publications. The visual depiction of literary history is, I believe useful for identifying the gaps in time between eras, particularly in noting the speed at which newer texts are adopted as related to older ones. Close attention, for example, should be paid to the fact that The Epic of Gilgamesh has as much publication time (~1300 years) between its creation and that of Plato's Republic as does Beowulf and the present day. Although we tend to think of these texts as hailing from the same ancient bygone era, the truth is that for authors like Homer and Plato, such texts were themselves ancient relics. Even Plato had five hundred years of Homeric study preceeding his own works, a longer temporal distance, for example, as between Shakespeare and the present day.
The second timeline in this chapter, our horizontal epoch timeline, lists the number of contributions to the AC by era and percentage of total, as well as important works and authors of each era. Finally, our chapter concludes with a discussion of trends throughout time (both authorial and textual, created using Google's n-gram tool) and a discussion and analysis of the direction the Canon may be potentially headed. This final section is of particular importance in my view because it identifies not only the "status" of the canon, as it were, but also offers a potential explanation for why the rate of adoption into the canon has slowed to a relative snail's pace in recent years (from ~1980-present), especially compared to the absolutely astounding rate of adoption in the 19th and 20th centuries, respectively. Whether this speaks to something of a resistance to recency bias or a shift in technology or a change in perception about canonicity as a whole I will leave to the reader to decide. Considering the advances made in communication technology (the internet, specifically), and the widespread global improvement in literacy, one would expect this trend to be exactly the reverse of what it is. Perhaps, however, authors of texts in the 19th century were also not privy to their own excellence in the contemporary moment, and it is only with the assistance of time (and perhaps new generations of scholarship) that canonicity may be recognized.
The Early Years: Prehistory and Classical Greek
The AC hosts a total of thirty texts that span from the dawn of literature until year 0 on the Julian calendar. When dealing with eras this far into antiquity, all dates are approximate, many authors are unknown, and even countries of origin are lost to the mists of history. Every attempt was made to identify correct time periods and "publication" dates (although that term means little in this era), sometimes even using an average of several sources. Overall, this time period ranks 5th overall in AC contributions, with the bulk of writing occuring during the Classical period of Greece. The era's most popular author was Homer, racking up 72CR between two entries, the expected Iliad and Odyssey. The most popular text from the era also belonged to Homer, with the Odyssey scoring 43CR, enough to place 12 overall. It was not, however, the highest-scoring epic or verse; that honor went to Dante's Divine Comedy, which, with 48CR, scored a finish of 9th overall. Other popular authors from the period were Sophocles, Plato, Euripides, Aristophanes, Aeschylus, and Aristotle. It is worth noting here that many of the most popular playwrights from this time period, including those previously mentioned, have vast tracts of "lost works" for which only fragmented sections, or in some cases, only titles, have been found. Matthew Wright in The Lost Plays of Greek Tragedy notes that, for example, Aeschylus alone had 71 individual texts, of which only seven (or six - authorship of Prometheus Bound is disputed) survived. Four of these plays appear on the AC (Agamemnon, Prometheus Bound, The Eumenides, Libation Bearers), though if we had surviving fragments of the rest, his contributions would likely be far higher. We may assume the same for other Greek tragedians, meaning that if we had all of the lost texts from these authors the era of Prehistory would contain far more texts than it does, likely raising its profile from 5th overall to as far as 3rd or even 2nd. Considering the lack of publication technology and difficulty in making and producing copies of texts from this time period, we might even consider the works of these authors to be the most influential on all the Western Canon (that is, until Shakespeare, of course).
The most prolific author from the time period was Aristotle, with 8 contributions to the AC, though his CR pales in comparison to even the more modest authors from this time period. Much of the writing within this period are tracts on mathematics, art, poetry, statehood, and religion, though the most popular works, as perhaps expected, are dramas and epics. Even in antiquity, it seems, we had a fascination with the fictional. Interestingly, no authors from Greece made the AC after this time period, suggesting that after the Classical period ended, translators were unable, or unwilling, to bring these texts to the canon, and as such they never captured popular attention. It was during this period, also, that perhaps the greatest destruction of literary texts occured, a literary tragedy of unknowable impact, with the destruction of the Library at Alexandria. In addition to Ptolemy VIII Physcon's purging of intellectuals from the city of Alexandria in 145 BC, Julius Caesar accidentally burned a part of the library during the Roman Civil War in 48 BC. This began a decline in the library's membership and stewardship, which eventually culminated with its completed destruction in ~265 AD. It is difficult to say how different the AC would look - or, Western Civilization, for that matter - had the manuscripts at Alexandria survived.
This period accounts for 5.64% of all works contributed to the AC. The oldest text within the period, and the oldest on the AC by far, is The Epic of Gilgamesh (196 overall, 9CR), first published ~2100BC by an anonymous author, while the most recent is Virgil's Aeneid (47 overall, 27CR).
Roman Classical and Early Medieval: 1st-12th Centuries
The AC hosts 17 texts from this time period, 3.20% of the AC total. While this number is greater than the least scoring time period (13-15th centuries), the fact that it spans 1200 years instead of only 200 makes this time period the in which the least literary output eventually found its way to the Canon; that is, the lowest Canonical density may be found in this era. This epoch is primarily dominated by Roman writers, including Marcus Aurelius, Ovid, St. Augustine, and Lucretius. The most popular text from this era was St. Augustine's Confessions (62 overall, 24CR), followed closely by Beowulf (81 overall, 20CR). Further extending the tradition of the Greek period in prehistory, most of the texts from this era are nonfiction treatises and essays on philosophy, politics, religion, and morality. This era seems to be the origin of religious doctrine divorced from myth, for while myth remained popular (as evidenced by Ovid), St. Augustine's text seems to be the first that openly references the new religion of Christianity (~400 AD). Rome's first Christian emperor was Constantine, who ruled ~280-337 AD, demonstrating the sea-changing effects the Christian religion had on Roman culture, world culture, and, of course, literature. Other religious texts also date from this era, including the Qu'ran (~614) and Metamorphoses (AD 8), perhaps the last great work in which foundational creation myth and theology were closely intertwined. Later centuries would see authors reacting to these texts (like Chaucer, Langland, and Malory, amongst others). It is obvious from the textual publications found on the AC that theology, in the form of both "faithful writings about" or "critical responses to," dominated both literature and culture for the better part of almost 1300 years.
Anyone with even a passing familiarity of history will likely see the trend beginning to develop in regard to the texts adopted to the AC. A vast tract of texts (many unfortunately lost to history) sprang from the ancient Greek Classical period, and a large additional number, primarily focused on adherence to novel religions, began to usurp them during the reign of the Roman empire, which lasted for centuries in one form or another. The next epoch, the 13th-15th centuries, saw great famine, plague, and worldly upheaval just before the dawn of the Early Modern Age. Fittingly that time period has the fewest texts of any, as well as the second-lowest literary density. A rough parallel may be drawn from not only the number of texts produced, but also the number of canonical texts produced, between human quality of life (quantified as free time dedicated to persual of the arts) against time spent on subsistence. The relatively low output and literary density from the 1-12th centuries becomes more difficult to explain, then, unless we assume either a lack of education for the common populace (a likely scenario), or perhaps the warlike nature of the Roman empire exalted other persuits. This is all, of course, merely speculation.
The Late Medieval: 13th-15th Centuries
The upheaval that gripped the globe in the late medieval period is difficult to overstate. In addition to the Great Famine (1315-1317), the Black Death obliterated entire populations of Europe. Endemic warefare, including the Hundred Years' War, Jacquerie, and the Peasants' Revolt further decimated the continent. It is perhaps no great surprise, then, that artistic flourishes essentially ground to a halt before the world began to enter the Renaissance and the Age of Discovery. This firmly entrenches the time period in its expected place as the least contributory era to the AC, including only 9 texts (1.70% of AC total). Only four known authors wrote during this period: Chaucer, Dante, Malory, and Langland; all other AC texts from this era were published anonymously. It wasn't until Shakespeare burst onto the scene almost two hundred years later that literary output resumed levels not seen since antiquity with the onset of the Early Modern Age. Despite its relatively small contribution, however, the 13th-15th centuries play host to two of the most lasting, and highest-scoring, texts on the AC: Chaucer's Canterbury Tales (4 overall, 53AC), and Dante's Divine Comedy (8 overall, 48CR). Only the 19th and 20th centuries place as many texts within the top ten as this era, which, as stated, is astounding, considering its low output. Canterbury Tales was easily the most popular text from this era, with Dante not far behind. The only other texts from this era to appear on the AC were Chaucer's Troilus and Criseyde (249 overall, 4CR), Langland's Piers Plowman (283 overall, 3CR), Malory's Le Morte d'Arthur (122 overall, 15CR), and anonymous texts Sir Gawain and the Green Knight (294 overall, 5CR) and The Summoning of Everyman (372 overall, 3CR). Historically speaking, even Chaucer and Dante, the era's "representatives," published in 1390 and 1320, respectively, are placed near the tail end of the time period, closer to the establishment of the Renaissance. Fascinatingly, the very end of this time period, 1436, saw the development of Gutenberg's printing press by building off of ideas and technologies of movable type and wood block printing pioneered by the Chinese and Koreans several centuries earlier. The contribution this invention had to the world of literature was positively massive, and no technology until the computer and the internet has done as much for the proliferation of literature since. With Gutenberg's invention increasingly available as the calendars flipped, it is no surprise, then, that the following century saw literature increase in popularity within the AC.
The Early Renaissance: 16th Century
The Renaissance and the Age of Discovery covered the early half for the 16th century with new ideas, technologies, and innovations. Within the world of literature, the rate at which new texts were developed and adopted was relatively slow, but accelerated near the end of the century to a level not yet seen since the Classical age some 1600-2000 years prior. The early half of the 16th century saw primarily texts that were in line with those from the late 15th century: nonfiction, treatises, essays, and other documents that sought to examine philosophy, statehood, and religious affiliation. It wasn't until the tail-end of the 16th century, when a certain William Shakespeare made his presence known, that the contents of the AC really began to take off. It's been stated previously how much of an influence Shakespeare had on the canon, and we might perhaps pinpoint his works, even moreso than, for example, the development of the Gutenberg press, as the "launching point" for the canon. This time period is responsible for 26 works added to the AC (4.89% of total), with most of those contributions coming from Shakespeare himself (and a few from his contemporaries, Marlowe, Donne, and Spenser). This century wasn't especially noteworthy outside of his contributions, but as the first, it certainly set the stage for what was soon to come.
We might, perhaps, if we were inclined to separate the canon into consitutent canons by date of publication, use this century as our "turning point," as the Early Modern period which begins here not only sees a massive proliferation in number of texts but also a diversity in textual content. By this time, the tragedy still reigned supreme (owing to the Greek tragedians and Shakespeare's more popular work, though much of his most popular work would wait until the 17th century), as did drama and epic poetry. You'll undoubtedly note a distinct lack of novels thus far; those come about a hundred years later. We could, therefore, pinpoint this era as the turning point from ancient texts (tragedy, theologic, epic, verse, myth, and foundational/religious) to more modern fare (novels, fiction, narratives, social commentary, theologic repudiation). Whether or not you believe this era (and Shakespeare in particular) marks the end of the ancient era or the beginning of the modern one is up to you. A further delineation of the canon might perhaps take place near within the 19th and 20th centuries, as the texts on the AC seem to suggest another shift in general content and format, though this might also only be an example of recency bias, or it might mark the dawn of a new literary era, in which we may subsitute "Gutenberg Press" with "Internet." Only time will ultimately tell.
The Late Renaissance: 17th Century
The early half of the 17th century was again dominated by Shakespeare, who died in April of 1616. Much of his work from this century was published posthusmously with the First Folio, which contains more single works in the AC than any other anthological publication in the history of literature, yet another testament to the playwright's greatness. The latter half of the century began to see further development in religious writing and fiction, as well as an extension of already-established formats the Epic (with Milton's Paradise Lost), the treatise (with Hobbes' Leviathan), and, perhaps most importantly, the development of what some consider the first ever novel, a format that would take over not only the literary world but the canon in general: Cervantes' Don Quixote de la Mancha. The literary output from this century was, as you can see, beginning to grow. The expected "explosion" of works wouldn't come until almost two centuries later, but the groundwork was being laid and extended and many non-Shakespearean classics were in line for future addition to the canon. This century, in total, saw 40 works added to the AC (7.52% of total), and set a new record for most works added during a time period. New communication technology was in place, education, ideas, and thoughts abounded, and although the world continued to see war and poverty sporadically, the darkest of times in the 13th-15th century had been steadily replaced. The future, as it were, was looking bright. It is no coincidence that historians often label this period as "Early Modern European History," as culture (and, by extension, literature) began to take a familiar shape during this century.
I've mentioned the printing press several times to this point, and it is indeed true that the technology enabled authors to produce works more readily and quickly than ever before. More telling, however, as previously stated, is the relative leisure time individuals might devote to writing. Although things in this era are vastly improved from the relative hellscape that was the 13th-15th centuries, the explosion of literary output finally occurs in the 19th century; not, as it were, thanks to an improvement in communication technology, but rather, the industrial revolution, which increased quality of life for innumerable people and created dedicated leisure time for millions. If there is a single advancement in the history of mankind that has done more for literary progress than any other, it would have to be not the printing press or even the internet, but instead the industrial revolution. In Chapter Three, when we discuss demographics, you will also notice that increased trade and flow of ideas (geographically speaking) led to the development of literature and canonical works. The communication technologies of the printing press and the internet undoubtedly assisted this process, but the ability to think, write, and work unfettered is the single greatest indicator of literary output (and, if the AC is accurate, quality). Tragedy and conflict might make for good stories, but only those who survive to tell those stories make good literature.
The Early Modern Period: 18th Century
Not to be confused with Modernism, a literary movement that wouldn't come around for another two hundred years, the Early Modern period of the 18th century continued where the 17th century left off. Interestingly, both centuries contributed the exact same number of texts to the AC (40, 7.52% of total). This time period's most popular author was finally, after two hundred years of dominance, no longer Shakespeare. Jonathan Swift's Gulliver's Travels reigns supreme during this century (20th overall, 38CR), with Voltaire's Candide (44 overall, 27CR) and Wordsworth and Coleridge's Lyrical Ballads (46 overall, 27CR) close behind. Wordsworth and Coleridge, in particular, was one of the first, "modern" poetry styles to be adopted into the AC. Although the Epic verses of Homer, Chaucer, Marlowe, and Milton were still present, Wordsworth and Coleridge carved out a niche which saw future poets extend verse into new and exciting areas (although, once again, we may trace the first widely-adopted of this type of poetry back to Shakespeare and his collected Sonnets). The novel, too, was continuing to see evolution and progression. Defoe's Robinson Crusoe (66 overall, 23CR), Sterne's Tristram Shandy (51 overall, 17CR) and Fielding's Tom Jones (47 overall, 18CR)all saw publication during this time period. The format was well on its way to utter dominance, and while the most popular format of the time was the epistolary, that was soon to be eclipsed by the newcomer. This century also saw the evolution of some of the more famous and enduring thematic literary aesthetics, including Romanticism and the Gothic, the latter of which began with Horace Walpole's 1764 publication of The Castle of Otranto (199 overall, 9CR), and reached its AC pinnacle with Emily Bronte's Wuthering Heights (7 overall, 49CR).
Popular topics for authors during this era were philosophy, science, and politics, as Rousseau's Social Contract, Smith's Wealth of Nations, Hume's Human Nature, Newton's Principia Mathematica, Berkeley's Principles of Human Knowledge, Lavoisier's Elements of Chemistry, Kant's Critique of Pure Reason, and the founding documents of The Federalist Papers, The Declaration of Independence, and The United States Constitution demonstrate. All saw publication during this period. Fiction texts were often either Gothic, as previously mentioned, and the budding new genre of the novel, which would explode in popularity in a century's time. You will undoubtedly note the shift in content amongst nonfiction authors from an interest in theology to one in the sciences and philosophy, mirroring the advancements of the Classical age; not unusual, especially considering the Gothic, the most popular fiction genre of the time, was also interested in the long-lost mists of Classical ruin and architecture.
The Age of Industry: 19th Century
The tail end of the Romantic age of literature brought with it a transition into the industrial revolution, and, later in the century, the Gilded Age. As previously stated, this revolution cannot be overstated in the impact it had on literature, culture, and thought. Further refinements in communication technology, coupled with the technology's newfound ability to harness electricity, steam power, and coal engines, brought about further education and dissemination of text. New ideas, building from older ones, and a higher standard of living (which resulted in less time fighting costly wars and struggling under famines) all added up to more time in which individuals could read and write for a living. As a result, despite continuing major conflicts (the Napoleanic Wars, for example), literature flourished. Reasonably, we could construe this century as the expected outcome of two hundred years of progress following Shakespearen lead; or, we could acknowledge that the industrial revolution had more of an impact on lives and literature than we had previously thought (my personal opinion). Whichever the case, literary production absolutely exploded. With a staggering 143 additions to the canon (26.88%), the 19th century brought almost as many works as every time period before it combined. In only a hundred years' time, the canon quite literally doubled in size, going from 162 works in almost 1800 years to 305 works in a little under a hundred. Led by the number one overall entry into the AC (Austen's Pride and Prejudice, 60CR), the century sees more authors in the top ten of the AC than any other, including Charlotte Bronte's Jane Eyre (3 overall, 55 recs) and Emily Bronte's Wuthering Heights (6 overall, 50CR). It also places more works in Tier A than any other (24; the next closest being the 20th century with 23).
It was in this time, too, that American authors began to really take off alongside their counterparts across the pond. Given the American Revolution fought in the final two decades of the previous century, it was no surprise that American authors' contributions really began to shine here. Gone were the days of early American authors like Washington Irving, and in were the days of popular American authors like James Fenimore Cooper, Mark Twain, Herman Melville, Nathaniel Hawthorne, Edgar Allan Poe, Walt Whitman, and Henry David Thoreau. Meanwhile, in the UK, the Gothic novel continued to prevail as the most popular genre, with authors like Oscar Wilde (The Picture of Dorian Gray, 22 overall, 37CR) taking hold, alongside the newly-budding genre of speculative science fiction with Shelley's Frankenstein (16 overall, 42CR), incidentally, the most-assigned text in university syllabi today (opensyllabus.org), and the ever-growing genre of adventure fiction (usually with a feature of social commentary) led by Joseph Conrad. Other luminary British authors of the time included Charles Dickens, George Eliot, and Lewis Carroll, while the list of translated works grew to include Dostoevsky, Flaubert, Tolstoy, Ibsen, and Nabakov. The most popular scientific paper on the AC, Darwin's Origin of Species (76 overall, 21CR), also originated in this century.
It is no surprise, given the veritable cornucopia of texts floating about, coupled with the rise of American authors, that we perhaps colloquially consider the 18th century the pinnacle of literary studies, and certainly representative of the type of texts that are called to mind when picturing literary scholarship. Its popularity on the AC certainly speaks to this, as it occupies, if less texts overall than the 20th century, at least a series of respectively higher rankings, including two of the top three, three of the top ten, seven of the top twenty, and twenty-four of Tier A (33.8%). One also must consider that the AC in total is perhaps a primarily American institution, considering the proliferation of American authors within (representing 51% of all authors present) in only two hundred odd years' worth of contributions. Whether this is due to recency bias or merely the transformative nature of the industrial and American revolutions (ie. "right place, right time") is unknown.
Finally, we begin to see the novel finally take it's place within the 19th century as the format of choice. Although the popularity of the novel may perhaps just be due to its emergence during the time in which the greatest number of texts were being written and added to the canon, we may also consider it something of a "chicken or the egg" problem, and instead note that, just perhaps, the canon may not have exploded in the manner in which it did if not for the proliferation of the new format.
The Modern Era: 20th Century
The explosion of literature continued, well into and through the 20th century, and showed no signs of slowing down. Again, despite major upheaval (two World Wars), literature proliferated unabated, at a speed heretofore unseen in human history. Adding a whopping 225 works to the AC (42.29% of total), the 20th century ranks first overall in terms of texts added. It contains the highest-output decade in the entire canon (the 1950s) and the highest-output year (1953). Much like the 19th century just before it, the 20th century nearly doubled the canon in size again, growing from 305 works in 1899 to 530 by the turn of the milennium. At the time its texts were added, if we ignore the texts themselves, the 20th century alone accounted for a 73.7% increase in canon size, second only to the 88% increase offered by the 19th century. American authors dominated once again, with F. Scott Fitzgerald's The Great Gatsby leading the way (2 overall, 57CR), and Salinger's The Catcher in the Rye (15 overall, 42CR) and Lee's To Kill A Mockingbird (18 overall, 41CR) not far behind. Other luminary authors, pioneers of the modernist movement (which took hold of literature after the turn of the century), included Virginia Woolf, T. S. Eliot, Albert Camus, Franz Kafka, and James Joyce. American classics from John Steinbeck and William Faulkner burst onto the scene, providing a haven for modern tragedy and domestic fiction alike. Drama continued it's powerful literary tradition with playwrights Tennessee Williams and Arthur Miller. Dystopian fiction got its start as an outgrowth of speculative fiction, seeing authors like Orwell, Vonnegut, Huxley, and Bradbury rewrite the future. Social commentary reached new heights alongside the American Civil Rights movement, fueled in no small part by famous literature from Ralph Elison, Zora Neale Hurston, Harper Lee, Lorraine Hansberry, and W. E. B. Du Bois. The wake of the Civil Rights Movement provided further, more recent canonical additions from authors like Toni Morrison and Alice Walker.
In short, the 20th century was a fracturing of "great literature" into smaller, more specific, more nuanced genre categories, each with its own luminary authorship and texts. This literary diaspora simultanesouly explains the nature of the 20th century canon (more texts, with relatively smaller CR scores), each more directed and niche than the texts before. No longer was there the "next great novel"; rather, authors identified audiences and wrote what they knew to those audiences, resulting in individualized, but altogether passionate, fan bases. This mimics, as you'll no doubt note, the university system of today, in which there is no "literature" class, but rather a series of fragmented literary study courses, each focused on a genre, author, demographic, time period, or other facet of modern literature. Because of this process, it is my speculation that no text will ever unseat those at the top of the AC, as "universal acclaim" appears to be a relic of the 19th century, and in its place we have texts that are preferred more passionately by a relatively smaller subset of scholarship.
Interestingly, the vast majority of 20th century works are selected from the early parts of the century up until roughly the 1970s. The most prolific decade on the entire AC, the 1950s, was at the height of the American Civil Rights Movement, and saw twenty-eight texts added to the AC in a mere ten-year span, the highest literary density on the entire canon, and three times as many texts in a single decade as in the years from 13th-15th centuries. They are, in order from earliest to latest by year: Wouk's The Caine Mutiny, Bradbury's The Martian Chronicles, Lewis' The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe, Jones' From Here to Eternity, Salinger's The Catcher in the Rye, O'Connor's Wise Blood, Williams' Cat on a Hot Tin Roof, Steinbeck's East of Eden, Hemingway's The Old Man and the Sea, Ellison's The Invisible Man, Barthes' Writing Degree Zero, Baldwin's Go Tell It On the Mountain, O'Connor's A Good Man is Hard to Find, Miller's The Crucible, Bradbury's Fahrenheit 451, Beckett's Waiting for Godot, Golding's Lord of the Flies, Tolkien's The Lord of the Rings, Nabokov's Lolita, Wiesel's Night, Rand's Atlas Shrugged, Cleever's Wapshot Chronicle, Kerouac's On the Road, Achebe's Things Fall Apart, Bellow's Henderson the Rain King, Burroughs' Naked Lunch, Camus' The Possessed, and Hansberry's A Raisin in the Sun. One would be hard-pressed to find another decade as prolific as this one (28 texts, 272CR), though there are a few contenders. The 1960s (28 texts, 191CR); the 1940s (30 texts, 244CR); the 1890s (20 texts, 275CR); the 1850s (19 texts, 295CR), and the stiffest competition, the 1920s (27 texts, 339CR). Ultimately, despite seemingly higher figures, I discounted the 1920s as the "best overall decade" as 57 of its 339CR came from a single text (The Great Gatsby), meaning the 1950s, on average, has a higher CR/Text score, as well as more texts in the canon overall.
The Future Era: 21st Century and Beyond
The AC is host to only two texts published after the dawn of the 21st century, both relatively low on the list: Cormac McCarthy's 2006 text The Road (452 overall, 1CR; incidentally, the newest addition to the AC), and W. G. Sebald's 2001 text Austerlitz (383 overall, 2CR). As the 21st century is still quite relatively young, time will tell if these texts gain in popularity or remain static. Whatever the case, it seems as though most list-makers exclude texts that are too recent in memory; perhaps as an attempt to avoid recency bias, or because the weight of tradition is simply too strong. With the addition of these final two texts, the AC reaches its current iteration of 532 current entries. Because of the nature of this project, once a text enters canonical status, even with only a single CR from any source, it will not be removed. Reasonably speaking, this list will ultimately, eventually, grow to become too large and unwieldy (though the argument may be made that it already is)! At that point, it will likely be necessary to cull the list of single-rec texts or even dual-rec texts, if this project were to be redone at a later date some years in the future.
Projecting trends into the future of the AC is a relatively difficult undertaking. Aside from the impossibility of guessing the "next great text," as it may come from anyone, anywhere, at any time, the further complication of the canon being usurped by digital texts is a very real one. Reasonably, the canon could go in one of three directions:
Continued Adaptation: In this first scenario, born-digital texts and newer genres (including graphic novels, manga, manhwa, video games, and interactive fiction) are added to the canon much like older formats. For this to occur, we need only wait. Newer formats tend to experience fierce resistance from established scholars, and a new generation whom grew up immersed in these texts will eventually become the list-makers, and we might then see adoption of those formats into the canon.
Diasporic Canon: The second scenario sees a new canon developed, one in which this current iteration remains static in perpetuity, and the "21st century" canon, based in newer formats, takes hold. This scenario is likely, considering the fractious nature of literature itself within the 20th century along thematic and cultural lines. If this process continues, it is likely inevitable that "the canon" is ultimately dumped in favor of a number of "pantheons," one dedicated to each of a number of literary categories, and likely some which cross borders, all of which establishes lunimary authors and texts for their respective lists. This process has already begun in some ways, though it remains to be seen if it will continue, and to what extent.
Canon Obliteration: The third and final scenario sees an absolute breakdown and rejection of the canon entirely. This scenario follows the popular trend to "reshape the canon" to its natural conclusion, in which all canon-authors are individuals and select texts of their own accord. I suspect this scenario is least likely to play out, as, like it or not, the canon serves a pragmatic purpose tied closely to pedagogy (and, more pertinently, budgets), and university departments and textbook manufacturers will likely be unwilling to part with such a guide. This is, of course, suggesting that in one hundred years' time literary scholarship will look as it does today, and if the past is any indication, no incarnation of literature lasts for more than, at most, a hundred years or so before being replaced. The speed of communication and new communication technology, coupled with the proliferation of distant reading techniques employed in the construction of this very AC, make that transition not only likely inevitable but also likely to happen sooner than we might think.
The graph at right is a condensed version of the above timeline, showing major authors and works from each respective era. For reference sake, note that the Oral Age of literature essentially predates the graph, the Written Age spans from 2000BC-15th century, the Print Age lasts from 16th century until the late 20th century, and the Digital Age concerns the 20th century to present. The Print Age, by a very, very wide margin, contains more texts added to the AC than all other ages combined. This chart also illustrates the number of works from each century group added to the canon, and what percentage of the entire AC (not percentage of the canon at time of canonical constitution) each century has contributed.
The AC by Date and Percent
To get a better visualization of how the texts in the AC are drafted from their various time periods, refer to the chart on the right, which illustrates the massive gap the 19th and 20th centuries have on the rest of the canon, combining for almost 70% of all AC texts. Note, again, the relatively small contributions that took place prior to Gutenberg, and how those that occur after the printing press are themselves relatively small in comparison to those that took place following the industrial revolution. If given a "chicken or egg" scenario, wherein one option is that good literature promoted learning which led to industry, or, wherein powerful industry improved communication technology and leisure time to persue the arts, and, in turn, generated more reading, the data seems to point to the latter. This is, of course, not the complete picture, and a feedback loop between the two is more likely, wherein one supports and permits the other. Additionally, as we'll discuss at length in Chapter Four, adoption into the AC is not only about historical time period but also about format, and you'll no doubt note that the explosion of texts from the 19th and 20th centuries almost perfectly aligns with the rise of the novel as the preferred format in literature.
Conclusion
A further inquiry we have from this data is a question that, while unanswerable, cuts to the heart of the nature of the canon itself. Specifically, has literature, reading, learning, and analysis improved in the last two hundred years to the extent suggested by our data? Has humanity, as a whole, seen a 300% increase in "learnedness," if such a thing may be measured? Can we empirically measure something as nebulous as "cultural output?" How much credit can we give to the institutions of organized education, higher education, or even "free time," made possible by technological advancement either in ease-of-life or mass communication? Does one factor more readily into canonization than another? If so, which? By how much?
These questions, of course, have no answer. I pose them not to be rhetorical but to help readers recognize the innate difficulty in a project like this one, and, by extension, in canon-making in general. It is no wonder the process leads to so much conflict; it is based on an impossible to answer question that has, as previously discussed, large-scale real-world implications attached to it. The best answer this project can muster to the aforementioned questions is some form of "it doesn't matter", coupled with "this is what's been popular on a number of metrics. Choose the one most relevant to you."
Finally, just to add another inquiry to our litany of unanswerable historical questions, how much do the texts from the past influence those that come after? Would there be a Chaucer without a Homer? A Shakespeare without a Chaucer? An Austen without a Shakespeare? Or a Joyce without an Austen? Literary trends in authorship, style, and genre come and go throughout history, but canonization seems to remain a mystery. We do know general trends - modernism dominating the early 1900s and 1920s, for example, or the Gothic extending from the late 1700s to the late 1800s - but the trends which govern canonization remain, at the moment, beyond our grasp.