Schedule

Week	Date	Topic/Reading	Presented by
1	Aug. 28	Introduction Review of topics. "A Little Survey of Induction"	Norton web,gem
		Introduction. Warm-up Case Studies
2	Sep. 4	What is Inductive Inference? Logical Relation or Habit of Mind?, gem Theories of Evidence as conceived outside philosophy of science, gem	Norton
		A brief statement of an interesting evidential claim in science made by scientists. (Provide one slide. Ten minutes presentation time each)	All registered seminar members (and willing volunteers)
		19th century pre-history
3	Sep. 11	John Newton, An Introduction to the Art of Logick. 1671 Ch.V "Of Imperfect Syllogism" S. E. Parker, Logic, 1837. Part III On Induction and Analogy.	Diego Cimadom
		William Whewell, Philosophy of the Inductive Sciences. 2nd ed. Book 2. 1847 Ch IV, V, VI.	Eissa Haydar
4	Sep. 18	John Stuart Mill, A System of Logic. 8th ed. new York: Harper & Bros. 1882 Bk III Ch. VIII "Of the Four Methods of Experimental Inquiry"	Zach Mayne
		W. Stanley Jevons, The Principles of Science. 1874. Book II. Ch. XII. "The Inductive or Inverse Application of the Theory of Probabilities" Book IV. Ch. XXIII. "The Use of Hypotheses"	Ibrahim Haydar
		Confirmation theory in logical positivism
5	Sep. 25	"Hempel's satisfaction criterion of confirmation," Section 6 in J. D. Norton, "A Survey of Inductive Generalization." Background: Carl Hempel, "Studies in the Logic of Confirmation," Ch. in Aspects of Scientific Explanation. New York: Free Press, 1965.	Anne Maquia Landin slides
		I. J. Good, "The Paradox of Confirmation," British journal for the philosophy of science, 11 (42), 1960 p.145-149. I. J. Good, "The Paradox of Confirmation (II)," British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 12 (1961), pp. 63-64. I. J. Good, "The White Shoe is a Red Herring," British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 17(1967), p. 322. Reconstruction of Good's calculations	Diego Cimadom
		Popper's Falsificationism
6	Oct. 2	Karl Popper, "Science: Conjectures and Refuations" in Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge. New York: Basic Books, 1962, pp. 33-65. (Background: Karl Popper, Logic of Scientific Discovery. 1959. Part 1. Introduction to the Logic of Science.)	Afra Akram
		John D. Norton, "The Rise and Fall of Karl Popper's Anti-Inductivism"	Norton slides
		Abduction, inference to the best explanation
7	Oct. 9	Paul R. Thagard, "The Best Explanation: Criteria for Theory Choice," The Journal of Philosophy, Vol. 75. No. 2 (Feb., 1978), pp. 76-92. (Background: Gilbert H. Harman, "The Inference to the Best Explanation" The Philosophical Review, Vol. 74, (Jan., 1965), pp. 88-95.)	An Zhu
		Peter Lipton, "Inference to the Best Explanation," in W.H. Newton-Smith (ed) A Companion to the Philosophy of Science (Blackwell, 2000) 184-193. (Background Peter Lipton, "Inference to the Best Explanation," Ch. 4 in Inference to the Best Explanation. 2nd.ed. Routledge, 2004.)	Yiling Lin
		Ch 8. "Inference to the Best Explanation: The General Account" Ch 9. "Inference to the Best Explanation: Examples" in John D. Norton, The Material Theory of Induction. BSPSopen, 2021.	Norton (briefly only if time) summary notes, gem
		Bayesian confirmation theory
8	Oct. 16	Hanti Lin, "Bayesian Epistemology" https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/	Kiki Timmermans
		Ch. 10. Why Not Bayes Ch. 11. Circularity in the Scoring Rule Vindication of Probabilities Ch. 12. No Place to Stand: The Incompleteness of All Calculi of Inductive Inference in John D. Norton, The Material Theory of Induction Optional: "A Demonstration of the Incompleteness of Calculi of Inductive Inference," British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 70 (2019), pp. 1119–1144.	Norton Slides: "Why not Bayes", gem "Incompletness"
		Severe testing
9	Oct. 23	Jerzy Neyman, "The Problem of Inductive Inference," Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics. III (1955), pp.13-46. Part I, pp. 13-19 "General Ideals" and Section 13, pp. 40-41."Does the Failure of a Test to Reject the Hypothesis Tested Constitute a Confirmation of This Hypothesis?"	Ibrahim Haydar
		Deborah G. Mayo, "Evidence as Passing Severe Tests: Highly Probable versus Highly Probed Hypotheses," in, P. Achinstein, ed., Scientific Evidence: Philosophical Theories and Applications. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2005, pp. 94-127.	Zach Mayne
		Problems of Induction
10	Oct. 30	Underdetermination thesis W. V. O. Quine, "Two Dogmas of Empiricism," The Philosophical Review, 60 (1951), pp. 20-43. (Background, W. V. O. Quine, "On Empirically Equivalent Systems of the World," Erkenntnis, 9, (1975), pp. 313-328.)	Kiki Timmermans
		Larry Laudan and Jarrett Leplin, "Empirical Equivalence and Underdetermination," Journal of Philosophy, 88 (1991), pp. 449-72.	Dominic Ryder
11	Nov. 6	Hume's problem of induction Wesley Salmon, Foundations of Scientific Inference. University of Pittsburgh Press. 1967. Parts I and II.	Hong Hui Choi
		Nelson Goodman, "The New Riddle of Induction" Ch. 3 in Fact, Fiction and Forecast. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1983.	Hong Hui Choi
		Possible, very briefly: John D. Norton "The Formal Equivalence of Grue and Green and How It Undoes the New Riddle of Induction." Synthese, (2006) 150: 185-207.	Norton(?)
	Nov. 13	Philosophy of Science Biennial Conference
		Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference
	Nov. 20	Term paper topic due prior to seminar.
12	Nov. 20	Ch. 1 "The Material Theory of Induction, Briefly" Ch. 2 "Large-Scale Structure: Four Claims" in John D. Norton, The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference. BSPSopen/University of Calgary Press, 2024.	Material theory, gem Four_claims, gem
	Nov. 27	Thanksgiving break
13	Dec. 4	Ch. 3 "Circularity" Ch. 4 "The Uniqueness of Domain-Specific Inductive Logics" Ch. 6 "The Problem of Induction" in John D. Norton, The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference. BSPSopen/University of Calgary Press, 2024.	Circularity, gem Uniqueness, gem Problem of Induction, gem
14	Dec. 11 (extra meeting in exam week since meeting missed for PSA)	Reports on case study or project General Discussion	Everyone
	Dec. 13	Term paper due, 5pm